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How to be a better planner: Avoiding the planning fallacy

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How to be a better planner: Avoiding the planning fallacy


Ever caught yourself thinking, “I thought I had enough time for this!” or, “Why am I always running late on my plans?” It’s like a never-ending loop of setting goals, missing the mark, then scratching your head in wonder.

This so-called “planning fallacy” is widespread. It is evident in educational institutions where both educators and learners stumble over it.[1] In the tech industry, only a third of projects are completed on time. Industrial design, however, takes 3.5 times as long as expected. And let’s not even talk about writers – almost 90% of them are fashionably late with their manuscripts.[2]

So, here’s the deal: If you’re serious about upping your planning game, it’s time to steer clear of the planning fallacy. Let’s figure out how.

Planning Fallacy: A Planned Failure

Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman, two giants of psychology and behavioral economy, gave us an alert about a sneaky mental trap:

In a 1979 article,[3] They pointed out that humans have an odd habit. We often rely on our gut feeling when predicting the future instead of being logical or analytical.

What is the catch? Our guts aren’t always right. These mistakes…



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